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41.
42.
This report describes development of an in silico, expert rule-based method for the classification of chemicals into irritants or non-irritants to eye, as defined by the Draize test. This method was developed to screen data-poor cosmetic ingredient chemicals for eye irritancy potential, which is based upon exclusion rules of five physicochemical properties – molecular weight (MW), hydrophobicity (log P), number of hydrogen bond donors (HBD), number of hydrogen bond acceptors (HBA) and polarizability (Pol). These rules were developed using the ADMET Predictor software and a dataset of 917 eye irritant chemicals. The dataset was divided into 826 (90%) chemicals used for training set and 91 (10%) chemicals used for external validation set (every 10th chemical sorted by molecular weight). The sensitivity of these rules for the training and validation sets was 72.3% and 71.4%, respectively. These rules were also validated for their specificity using an external validation set of 2011 non-irritant chemicals to the eye. The specificity for this validation set was revealed as 77.3%. This method facilitates rapid screening and prioritization of data poor chemicals that are unlikely to be tested for eye irritancy in the Draize test. 相似文献
43.
The traditional way of employing operational research in organisational interventions has been the expert mode. In this mode, the problem situation faced by the client is given to the operational research consultant, who then builds a model of the situation, solves the model to arrive at an optimal (or quasi-optimal) solution, and then provides a recommendation to the client based on the obtained solution. An alternative mode of engagement is to conduct the whole intervention together with the client: from structuring and defining the nature of the problem situation of interest, to supporting the evaluation of priorities and development of plans for subsequent implementation. In this latter mode, the operational researcher works throughout the intervention not only as an analyst, but also as a facilitator to the client. This paper discusses this latter mode of engagement with clients, with particular emphasis on the use of facilitated modelling as the intervention tool. Drawing on research scattered across a range of publications and domains, the review presented here provides a formal definition of facilitated modelling, together with a general framework that allows the conceptualisation of a wide variety of facilitated modelling approaches to organisational intervention. Design issues in facilitated modelling and their practical implication are discussed, and directions for future research identified. 相似文献
44.
This paper is concerned with the adaptive control problem, over the infinite horizon, for partially observable Markov decision processes whose transition functions are parameterized by an unknown vector. We treat finite models and impose relatively mild assumptions on the transition function. Provided that a sequence of parameter estimates converging in probability to the true parameter value is available, we show that the certainty equivalence adaptive policy is optimal in the long-run average sense. 相似文献
45.
This paper presents a weight sensitivity algorithm that can be used to investigate a portion of weight space of interest to the decision maker in a goal or multiple objective programme. The preferential information required from the decision maker is an initial estimate of their starting solution, with an equal weights solution being used as a default if this is not available, and preference information that will define the portion of weight space on which the sensitivity analysis is to be conducted. The different types of preferential information and how they are incorporated by the algorithm are discussed. The output of the algorithm is a set of distinct solutions that characterise the portion of weight space searched. The possible different output requirements of decision makers are detailed in the context of the algorithm.The methodology is demonstrated on two examples, one hypothetical and the other relating to predicting cinema-going behaviour. Conclusions and avenues for future research are given. 相似文献
46.
A Bayesian approach to seafloor classification using multi-beam echo-sounder backscatter data 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Dick G. Simons 《Applied Acoustics》2009,70(10):1258-520
Seafloor classification using acoustic remote sensing techniques is an attractive approach due to its high-coverage capabilities and limited costs. The multi-beam echo-sounder (MBES) system provides high-resolution bathymetry and backscatter information with 100% coverage. In this paper, we present a seafloor classification method that employs the MBES backscatter data. The method uses the averaged backscatter data per beam. It, therefore, is independent on the quality of the MBES calibration. Also, its performance is insensitive to seafloor type variation along the MBES swathe and corrections for the angular dependence of the backscatter are not needed. The method accounts for the ping-to-ping variability of the backscatter intensity. It estimates both the number of seafloor types present in the survey area and the probability density function for the backscatter strength at a certain angle for each of the seafloor types. Application of the method to MBES backscatter data acquired in a well-known test area in the North Sea shows very good agreement with available ground truth. The method’s discriminatory performance for this area is demonstrated to be comparable to that of taking samples of the sediment. All seafloor types known to be present in the area are resolved for. Application of the method to the Stanton bank data set shows clearly separable areas that differ in seafloor composition. 相似文献
47.
《Optimization》2012,61(3):687-707
This paper proposes an optimization method for a national-level highway project planning based on a modified genetic algorithm. The proposed method adds to the existing methods by integrating various planning elements into a single system. A simulation model is used in order to determine the best investment strategy with regard to net present value, time deviation from the initial plan and discrepancy between available resources and investment costs by taking into account economical, social, traffic and political factors. The outcome is a project schedule with an optimized cash flow. The proposed method was tested using the example of the National Highway Programme in Slovenia. 相似文献
48.
《Optimization》2012,61(3-4):385-392
In the steady state of an undiscounted Markov decision process, we consider the problem to find an optimal stationary probability distribution that maximizes the mean standard deviation ratio among all the stationary probability distributions. The problem injects considerations in MDPs from the relative point of view 相似文献
49.
含糊性和不可分辨性是决策中不确定性的两个方面.Vague集由真、假隶属度两方面来定义,具有强大的表达不精确数据的能力.在介绍Vague集的有关概念的基础上,基于DEA方法,将vague值转化为确定性数据,能够对vague值之间进行比较,且为同时包含vague值和其他定量指标的多目标决策提供思路. 相似文献
50.